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The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems Vol.4 No.2 pp.53-66

교통 미시 시뮬레이션 결과에 영향을 미치는 요소의 민감도 분석

김규옥,신치현

Sensitivity Analysis of the Factors Affecting Traffic Micro-simulation Results

Kyu-Ok Kim,Chi-Hyun Shin

Abstract

Microscopic simulation models, which focus on individual vehicles, are used extensively in the transportation operations in order to capture vehicle to vehicle and vehicle to traffic controls. There are many important factors involved when a micro simulation model is applied as an evaluation tool for the traffic system. They typically include test bed, software, simulation time period, measure of effectiveness, parameter for a software, OD matrix, and random seed number. To evaluate the effects of those factors, sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the effects of those factors based on CORSIM and TRANSIMS results. Three freeway corridors, two in Houston (I-10 and US 290) and one in Sin Antonio (I-37), were chosen as test beds. Three time periods (AM, PM, off-peak) and three OD matrix estimates were used for the analysis. It was found that the micro-simulation results were highly sensitive to the model Parameter sets and the OD information. The degree of sensitivity was a function of the test bed and time period.