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The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems Vol.9 No.1 pp.101-110
고속도로 사고등급별 돌발상황 처리시간 예측모형 및 의사결정나무 개발
The prediction Models for Clearance Times for the unexpected Incideness According to Traffic Accident Classifications in Highway
Abstract
In this study, a prediction model for incident reaction time was developed so that we can cope with the increasing demand for information related to the accident reaction time. For this, the time for dealing with accidents and dependent variables were classified into incident grade, A, B, and C. Then, fifteen independent variables including traffic volume, number of accident-related vehicles and the accidents time zone were utilized. As a result, traffic volume, possibility of including heavy vehicles, and an accident time zone were found as important variables. The results showed that the model has some degree of explanatory power. In addition, when the CHAID Technique was applied, the Answer Tree was constructed based on the variables included in the prediction model for incident reaction time. Using the developed Answer Tree model, accidents firstly were classified into grades A, B, and C. In the secondary classification, they were grouped according to the traffic volume. This study is expected to make a contribution to provide expressway users with quicker and more effective traffic information through the prediction model for incident reaction time and the Answer Tree, when incidents happen on expressway.
