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The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems Vol.10 No.4 pp.44-54

스마트도로 안전성 향상 효과의 정량화 연구

장현호,백승걸,오성호,김호정

Quantitative Analysis of Safety Improvement on Smart Roads

Hyun-Ho Chang,Seung-Kirl Baek,Sung-Ho Oh,Ho-Jeung Kim

Abstract

Intelligent transport services on smart roads tend to have a problem at the stage of benefit-cost analysis that can not secure economic feasibility of the new services which increase early investment cost on building its infrastructure. It is expected that the number of road accidents, 'Incident/Accident', will decline through various safety services using intelligent safety facilities, intelligent transport management and so on, and that traffic congestion will also decrease. The effect of traffic congestion reduction could be the benefit by safety improvement, however current investment-analysis process in Korea does not appropriate it as a benefit. This study estimated road blocking time with 'Incident/Accident' classification and highway accident data of past three years. It also developed a generalized model by a regression analysis with a microscopical simulation. Furthermore, it suggested necessary units on quantitative analysis in order to make the developed model applicable to investment evaluation. As a result of applying the developed model to Smart-Highway Project, it showed that total safety improvement benefit is about 139 billion dollars over 30 years when it is supposed that accident decreasing rate by smart safety facilities is 10%.