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The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems Vol.24 No.3 pp.1-19
DOI : https://doi.org/10.12815/kits.2025.24.3.1

Enhancing the Korean Greenhouse Gas Emission Estimation Model through the Development of Road Gradient Correction Factor

Jinjae Kim,Seunghoon Cheon,Soongbong Lee,Daejin Kim,Daisik Nam,Gwanyong Oh,Hanbyul Ryu

Abstract

While ongoing efforts and studies have been made to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, less attention has been placed on calibrating discrepancies between calculated emissions and real-world emissions. However, since over 90% of emissions in the transportation system originate from roads, applying a precise model to calculate emissions and assess reduction policies is essential. As advanced form of calculating emissions, this study introduces correction factor application method designed to be adaptable to Korea’s official emission model, referred to as the GIR Basic Model. In the process of adaptation, correction factors were initially developed for 16 vehicle/fuel types in Korea, aligned with the U.S. vehicle/fuel classification system. Later, based on available data, these 16 categories were aggregated into three main vehicle categories: Passenger Car, Bus, and Truck. Moreover, since high variability in the length of road segments within the dataset could lead to inconsistencies with gradient values, potentially affecting the accuracy of the results, we also considered methods to minimize the length dependency in gradient calculation. Regarding the results from both link-based and grid-based gradients, we chose to use both datasets and conducted comparison scenarios. Scenarios reveal that GHG emission increased with road gradients, with grid-based gradients showing more significant emission differences compared to link-based gradients. Quantitatively, applying road gradients resulted in a 12-15% change in MAPE bewteen models, and considering gradients led to a reduction in overall emissions. Due to the frequent variations in terrain, including uphills and downhills, across Korea, it is essential to consider road gradients not only for accurate emission assessments at the local government level but also for informing policies aimed at mitigating emissions through gradient modifications.

수송부문 온실가스배출량 고도화를 위한 종단경사 보정계수 개발

김진재,천승훈,이숭봉,김대진,남대식,오관용,류한별

초록

본 연구는 승인 국가온실가스 배출계수를 활용한 미시적 수준의 수송부문 온실가스 배출량 산정을 목적으로 종단경사 보정계수 개발 및 적용 방안을 제시하였다. 배출량 보정계수 개발에 는 미국 환경청에서 사용중인 MOVES-Matrix가 활용되었으며, 국내/외 차/유종 분류체계 간 매 칭을 통해 총 16종의 차/유종에 대한 보정계수 산정이 이뤄졌다. 다만 시나리오 분석에 있어, 현재 활용가능한 데이터가 국내 교통정보 수집시스템 내 일반 차종 3종(승용차, 버스, 트럭)이기 에, 일반차종기준 보정계수를 추가로 개발하였다. 종단경사의 경우 링크와 격자단위로 산출된 데이터의 장단점이 존재하여, 이를 각각 활용하였다. 분석 결과 종단경사가 증가할수록 온실가 스 단위배출량이 증가하였으며, 링크 대비 격자단위 종단경사가 고려되었을 때 온실가스 배출 량 차이가 크게 나타났다. 보정계수 적용 비교 시나리오별로 약 12~15%의 온실가스 배출량의 차이가 발생하였으며, 종단경사가 배출량에 유의한 영향을 미침을 확인할 수 있다. 수송부문 온실가스 배출 중 도로발생 비중이 높은만큼, 종단경사 보정계수에 대한 고려가 향후 지자체 중심의 온실가스 감축전략 수립 및 평가분석 시 유용한 지표로써 활용될 것으로 판단된다.

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